Manitoba general election, 2016
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Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 41st general election of Manitoba was held on April 19, 2016 to elect members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba, Canada.[1] The New Democratic Party of Manitoba, led by Greg Selinger, were defeated by the Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba led by Brian Pallister, ending nearly 17 years of NDP government. The Tories won 40 seats, one of the largest majority governments in Manitoba history, the other one was in 1915 when Liberals also won 40 seats.[2]
At the time of the election, no party with the word "conservative" in the name governed any province or territory in Canada since the recent election in Newfoundland and Labrador. The Liberal Party of British Columbia and Saskatchewan Party were both centre-right parties which governed their respective provinces. The election also removed one of the two New Democratic governments in the country, the other being formed by the Alberta New Democratic Party.
Date
Under the Manitoba Elections Act, the general election is to be held on the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year, following the previous election.[3] As the last election was held in 2011, that date would be October 6, 2015. However, the act also provides that if, as of January 1 of the election year, the election period would overlap with a federal election period, the provincial election is to be postponed until the third Tuesday of the following April.[4] Under the federal fixed-term act, on January 1, 2015, the next federal election was tentatively scheduled for October 19, 2015, overlapping election periods by approximately three weeks. Thus the next Manitoba election has been scheduled for April 19, 2016. The Lieutenant Governor retains the power to dissolve the Legislative Assembly early.[5] The legislature was dissolved and writs or the election were dropped on March 16, 2016.[6]
Campaign
The election was relatively unique within Canadian politics, in that opinion polling indicated that most voters were basing their decision on the local candidate in their riding or the party platform, not the performance of the leader. In most Canadian elections, such as the 2016 Saskatchewan election, the behaviour of the party leader was a stronger motivator for constituents when voting;[7] in the context of the Manitoba election, however, polling found that none of the three main party leaders was particularly well-liked or trusted by the electorate.[8]
The campaigns of all three parties were based on themes of change, with even Selinger suggesting the incumbent NDP government would be able to respond to constituent concerns and change problematic policies in the leaders' debate.[7] Opinion polling during the campaign suggested a lack of enthusiasm for all party leaders, and a general desire for change.[9]
Election summary
Summary of the April 19, 2016 Manitoba Legislature election
Party | Leader | Candidates | Seats | Popular vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2011 | Dissol. | 2016 | +/- | Votes | % | % change | ||||
Progressive Conservative | Brian Pallister | 57 | 19 | 19 | 40 | +21 | 231,783 | 53.01 | +9.30 | |
New Democratic | Greg Selinger | 57 | 37 | 35 | 14 | -21 | 112,734 | 25.73 | -20.43 | |
Liberal | Rana Bokhari | 51 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 62,985 | 14.46 | +6.94 | |
Green | James Beddome | 30 | – | – | – | – | 22,462 | 5.14 | +2.62 | |
Manitoba Party | Gary Marshall | 16 | – | – | – | – | 4,943 | 1.13 | n/a | |
Communist | Darrell Rankin | 6 | – | – | – | – | 305 | 0.07 | +0.03 | |
Independents | 4 | – | – | – | – | 2,032 | 0.46 | +0.41 | ||
Vacant[lower-alpha 1] | 2 | |||||||||
Total | 221 | 57 | 57 | 57 | 443,861 |
Summary results
40 | 14 | 3 |
Progressive Conservative | New Democratic | Liberal |
Party | 2011 | Gain from (loss to) | 2016 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | PC | Lib | ||||
New Democratic | 37 | (21) | (2) | 14 | ||
Progressive Conservative | 19 | 21 | 40 | |||
Liberal | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
Total | 57 | 23 | (21) | (2) | 57 |
Party | Candidates | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Progressive Conservative | 57 | 40 | 11 | 6 | – | – | |
New Democratic | 57 | 14 | 28 | 12 | 3 | – | |
Liberal | 51 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 6 | – | |
Green | 30 | – | 4 | 5 | 20 | 1 | |
Manitoba Party | 16 | – | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | |
Independent | 4 | – | 1 | – | 3 | – |
Party in 1st place | Party in 2nd place | Total | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | NDP | Lib | Grn | MB | Ind | |||
Progressive Conservative | – | 26 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 40 | |
New Democratic | 10 | – | 3 | 1 | – | 14 | ||
Liberal | 1 | 2 | – | – | – | – | 3 | |
Total | 11 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 57 |
Parties | Seats | |
---|---|---|
█ Progressive Conservative | █ New Democratic | 36 |
█ Progressive Conservative | █ Liberal | 9 |
█ Progressive Conservative | █ Green | 3 |
█ Progressive Conservative | █ Manitoba Party | 2 |
█ Progressive Conservative | █ Independent | 1 |
█ New Democratic | █ Liberal | 5 |
█ New Democratic | █ Green | 1 |
Total | 57 |
Incumbents not contesting their seats
Opinion polls
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | NDP | PC | Liberal | Green | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insights West | April 18, 2016 | HTML | 28 | 53 | 10 | 7 | 1 |
Insightrix Research | April 18, 2016 | HTML | 22 | 49 | 19 | 9 | 1 |
Forum Research | April 17, 2016 | 21 | 52 | 18 | 9 | ||
Mainstreet Research | April 14, 2016 | HTML | 26 | 55 | 11 | 9 | |
Insights West | April 7, 2016 | HTML | 26 | 49 | 17 | 7 | 1 |
Insightrix Research | April 7, 2016 | HTML | 24 | 49 | 22 | 5 | |
Mainstreet Research | April 5, 2016 | HTML | 24 | 50 | 17 | 9 | |
Probe Research Inc | April 4, 2016 | 28 | 46 | 20 | 6 | ||
Mainstreet Research | March 29, 2016 | HTML | 23 | 45 | 24 | 7 | |
Mainstreet Research | March 19, 2016 | HTML | 24 | 44 | 24 | 7 | |
Forum Research | March 13, 2016 | 22 | 46 | 23 | 8 | 1 | |
Mainstreet Research | March 12, 2016 | HTML | 27 | 43 | 24 | 7 | |
Mainstreet Research | February 20, 2016 | HTML | 21 | 50 | 23 | 6 | |
Mainstreet Research | February 11, 2016 | HTML | 21 | 51 | 20 | 7 | |
Mainstreet Research | January 25, 2016 | HTML | 20 | 52 | 20 | 9 | |
Mainstreet Research | January 9, 2016 | HTML | 23 | 44 | 27 | 6 | |
Insightrix Research | December 22, 2015 | HTML | 19 | 39 | 36 | 5 | 1 |
Probe Research Inc | December 15, 2015 | 22 | 43 | 29 | 6 | ||
Probe Research Inc | September 23, 2015 | 25 | 45 | 24 | 5 | ||
Probe Research Inc | June 27, 2015 | 29 | 46 | 19 | 5 | ||
Probe Research Inc | April 5, 2015 | 29 | 44 | 20 | 7 | ||
Probe Research Inc | December 12, 2014 | HTML | 26 | 48 | 19 | 7 | |
Mainstreet Research | November 3, 2014 | HTML | 27 | 53 | 20 | ||
Probe Research Inc | October 1, 2014 | HTML | 30 | 42 | 20 | 8 | |
Probe Research Inc | June 19, 2014 | HTML | 32 | 45 | 16 | 7 | |
Probe Research Inc | March 28, 2014 | HTML | 28 | 46 | 23 | 3 | |
Insightrix Research | February 7, 2014 | HTML | 24 | 49 | 18 | 9 | |
Probe Research Inc | December 27, 2013 | 26 | 48 | 20 | 6 | ||
Probe Research Inc | September 28, 2013 | HTML | 29 | 43 | 20 | 8 | |
Probe Research Inc | June 26, 2013 | 28 | 46 | 17 | 10 | ||
Probe Research Inc | April 14, 2013 | 35 | 42 | 15 | 8 | ||
Probe Research Inc | December 14, 2012 | 39 | 43 | 11 | 7 | ||
Probe Research Inc | October 14, 2012 | 45 | 38 | 11 | 6 | ||
Probe Research Inc | June 29, 2012 | 44 | 40 | 13 | 3 | ||
Probe Research Inc | April 4, 2012 | 40 | 45 | 10 | 5 | ||
2011 election | October 4, 2011 | 46.2 | 43.7 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 0.1 |
Candidates by riding
- Note that names in bold type represent Cabinet members, while italics represent party leaders.
Northern Manitoba
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | PC | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Flin Flon | Tom Lindsey 1,054 |
Angela Enright 942 |
Leslie Beck 894 |
Clarence Pettersen (Ind.) 354 |
Clarence Pettersen | |||||||
Kewatinook | Eric Robinson 1,177 |
Edna Nabess 371 |
Judy Klassen 1,477 |
Eric Robinson | ||||||||
Swan River | Ron Kostyshyn 2,408 |
Rick Wowchuk 4,081 |
Shayne Lynxleg 483 |
Dan Soprovich 296 |
Ron Kostyshyn | |||||||
The Pas | Amanda Lathlin 1,944 |
Doug Lauvstad 1,759 |
Tyler Duncan 555 |
Patrick Wood 216 |
Amanda Lathlin | |||||||
Thompson | Steve Ashton 1,499 |
Kelly Bindle 1,709 |
Inez Vystrcil-Spence 616 |
Steve Ashton |
Westman/Parkland
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | PC | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Agassiz | Courtney Lucas 445 |
Eileen Clarke 5,219 |
Robert Smith 406 |
Damian Dempsey (Ind.) 903 |
Stu Briese | |||||||
Arthur-Virden | Lorne Topolniski 592 |
Doyle Piwniuk 6,001 |
Frank Godon (Manitoba) 828 |
Doyle Piwniuk | ||||||||
Brandon East | Drew Caldwell 2,513 |
Len Isleifson 3,651 |
Vanessa Hamilton 809 |
Drew Caldwell | ||||||||
Brandon West | Linda Ross 1,875 |
Reg Helwer 5,603 |
William Moore 618 |
Reg Helwer | ||||||||
Dauphin | Darcy Scheller 1,759 |
Brad Michaleski 4,438 |
Garry Gurke 468 |
Kate Storey 550 |
Darrell Inkster (Manitoba) 157 |
Stan Struthers | ||||||
Riding Mountain | Béla Gyarmati 596 |
Greg Nesbitt 5,299 |
Jordan Fleury 1,013 |
Mark Olenick 776 |
Leanne Rowat | |||||||
Spruce Woods | Amanda Chmelyk 670 |
Cliff Cullen 5,178 |
Jaron Hart 496 |
Malcolm McKellar (Manitoba) 733 |
Cliff Cullen |
Central Manitoba
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | PC | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Emerson | Alanna Jones 431 |
Cliff Graydon 4,942 |
Loren Braul 1,419 |
Cliff Graydon | ||||||||
Gimli | Armand Bélanger 2,579 |
Jeff Wharton 5,614 |
Dwight Harfield 843 |
Ed Paquette (Manitoba) 239 |
vacant | |||||||
Interlake | Tom Nevakshonoff 1,428 |
Derek Johnson 3,685 |
Jamal Abas 2,068 |
Tom Nevakshonoff | ||||||||
Lakeside | Matt Austman 1,369 |
Ralph Eichler 6,077 |
Ralph Eichler | |||||||||
Midland | Jacqueline Theroux 714 |
Blaine Pedersen 6,168 |
Julia Sisler 523 |
Stacey O’Neill 797 |
Blaine Pedersen | |||||||
Morden-Winkler | Elizabeth Lynch 215 |
Cameron Friesen 6,598 |
Benjamin Bawdon 279 |
Mike Urichuk 667 |
Cameron Friesen | |||||||
Morris | Mohamed Alli 840 |
Shannon Martin 6,980 |
John Falk 1,430 |
Shannon Martin | ||||||||
Portage la Prairie | Alex MacDonald 697 |
Ian Wishart 4,635 |
Stephen Prince 1,238 |
Ian Wishart |
Eastman
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | PC | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Dawson Trail | Roxane Dupuis 1,674 |
Bob Lagassé 4,424 |
Terry Hayward 1,647 |
David Sutherland (Manitoba) 504 |
Ron Lemieux | |||||||
Lac du Bonnet | Wendy Sol 1,647 |
Wayne Ewasko 5,666 |
Wayne Ewasko | |||||||||
La Verendrye | Echo Asher 705 |
Dennis Smook 5,262 |
Bill Paulishyn 696 |
Janine Gibson 724 |
Dennis Smook | |||||||
Steinbach | Kathleen McCallum 387 |
Kelvin Goertzen 6,979 |
Dakota Young-Brown 458 |
Kelvin Goertzen | ||||||||
St. Paul | Andrew Podolecki 1,757 |
Ron Schuler 7,091 |
Pete Sanderson 1,055 |
Ron Schuler | ||||||||
Selkirk | Greg Dewar 2,366 |
Alan Lagimodiere 4,686 |
Stefan Jones 1,390 |
Greg Dewar |
Northwest Winnipeg
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | PC | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Burrows | Melanie Wight 1,766 |
Rae Wagner 1,009 |
Cindy Lamoureux 2,612 |
Garrett Bodnaryk 210 |
Tony Petrowski (Communist) 27 |
Melanie Wight | ||||||
Kildonan | Dave Chomiak 3,056 |
Nic Curry 3,688 |
Navdeep Khangura 965 |
Steven Stairs 452 |
Gary Marshall (Manitoba) 133 |
Dave Chomiak | ||||||
Point Douglas | Kevin Chief 2,789 (58.9%) |
Marsha Street 795 (16.8%) |
Althea Guiboche 852 (18%) |
Alberteen Spence 239 (5.0%) |
Frank Komarniski (Communist) 60 (1.3%) |
Kevin Chief | ||||||
St. Johns | Nahanni Fontaine 2,358 |
Barbara Judt 1,869 |
Noel Bernier 1,465 |
Elizabeth Puchailo 671 |
Gord Mackintosh | |||||||
The Maples | Mohinder Saran 2,832 |
Kaur Sidhu 2,705 |
Harbans Singh Brar 1,695 |
John Redekopp 582 |
Mohinder Saran | |||||||
Tyndall Park | Ted Marcelino 2,139 |
Naseer Warraich 1,306 |
Aida Champagne 1,656 |
Shane Neustaeter 391 |
Ted Marcelino |
Northeast Winnipeg
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | PC | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Concordia | Matt Wiebe 2,761 |
Andrew Frank 2,483 |
Donovan Martin 642 |
Terry Scott (Manitoba) 254 |
Matt Wiebe | |||||||
Elmwood | Jim Maloway 2,993 |
Sarah Langevin 2,886 |
Albert Ratt (Manitoba) 579 |
Jim Maloway | ||||||||
Radisson | Preet Singh 2,945 |
James Teitsma 4,635 |
Scott Newman 1,593 |
Bidhu Jha | ||||||||
River East | Jody Gillis 2,435 |
Cathy Cox 6,154 |
Piero Scaramuzzi 776 |
Bonnie Mitchelson | ||||||||
Rossmere | Erna Braun 3,389 |
Andrew Micklefield 5,303 |
Malli Aulakh 838 |
William Sullivan (Manitoba) 427 |
Erna Braun | |||||||
St. Boniface | Greg Selinger 3,624 |
Mamadou Ka 2,211 |
Alain Landry 1,663 |
Signe Knutson 1,048 |
Greg Selinger | |||||||
Transcona | Barb Burkowski 2,281 |
Blair Yakimoski 3,948 |
Chad Panting 1,465 |
Darrell Rankin (Communist) 68 Ajit Kumar (Manitoba) 233 |
Daryl Reid |
West Winnipeg
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | PC | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Assiniboia | Joseph McKellep 2,196 |
Steven Fletcher 3,450 |
Ian McCausland 1,631 |
Ileana Ohlsson 580 |
Jim Rondeau | |||||||
Charleswood | Janna Barkman 1,168 |
Myrna Driedger 5,298 |
Paul Brault 1,187 |
Kevin Nichols 1,080 |
Myrna Driedger | |||||||
Kirkfield Park | Sharon Blady 3,075 |
Scott Fielding 5,457 |
Kelly Nord 889 |
Lisa Omand 784 |
Sharon Blady | |||||||
St. James | Deanne Crothers 2,723 |
Scott Johnston 3,532 |
Michelle Finley 1,150 |
Jeff Buhse 850 |
Brad Gross (Manitoba) 137 |
Deanne Crothers | ||||||
Tuxedo | Zach Fleisher 1,299 |
Heather Stefanson 4,712 |
Michael Lazar 1,264 |
Bob Krul 1,250 |
Heather Stefanson |
Central Winnipeg
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | PC | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Fort Garry-Riverview | James Allum 3,442 (37.9%) |
Jeannette Montufar 3,144 (34.6%) |
Johanna Wood 793 (8.7%) |
James Beddome 1,709 (18.8%) |
James Allum | |||||||
Fort Rouge | Wab Kinew 2,275 (36.8%) |
Audrey Gordon 1,649 (26.7%) |
Rana Bokhari 1,290 (20.9%) |
Grant Sharp 790 (12.8%) |
Matthew Ostrove (Manitoba) 136 (2.2%) Paula Ducharme (Communist) 37 (0.6%) |
Jennifer Howard | ||||||
Logan | Flor Marcelino 1,505 (40.4%) |
Allie Szarkiewicz 720 (19.3%) |
Peter Koroma 1,029 (27.6%) |
Jitendradas Loves-Life 297 (8%) |
Joe Chan (Manitoba) 135 (3.6%) Cheryl-Anne Carr (Communist) 40 (1.1%) |
Flor Marcelino | ||||||
Minto | Andrew Swan 2,925 (51.2%) |
Belinda Squance 1,012 (17.7%) |
Demetre Balaktsis 693 (12.1%) |
Martha Jo Willard 407 (7.1%) |
Andrew Taylor (Communist) 41 (0.7%) Virgil Gil (Manitoba) 49 (0.9%) Don Woodstock (Ind) 587 (10.3%) |
Andrew Swan | ||||||
River Heights | Shafagh Daneshfar 591 (5.9%) |
Tracey Maconachie 3,471 (34.5%) |
Jon Gerrard 5,224 (51.9%) |
Michael Cardillo 778 (7.7%) |
Jon Gerrard | |||||||
Wolseley | Rob Altemeyer 3,022 (41.4%) |
Raquel Dancho 939 (12.9%) |
Shandi Strong 618 (8.8%) |
David Nickarz 2,638 (36.2%) |
Wayne Sturby (Manitoba) 77 (1.1%) |
Rob Altemeyer |
South Winnipeg
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | PC | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Fort Richmond | Kerri Irvin-Ross 2,274 |
Sarah Guillemard 2,879 |
Kyra Wilson 814 |
Cameron Proulx 540 |
Kerri Irvin-Ross | |||||||
Fort Whyte | George Wong 1,718 |
Brian Pallister 6,775 |
Peter Bastians 1,205 |
Carli Runions 731 |
Daryl Newis (Manitoba) 127 |
Brian Pallister | ||||||
Riel | Christine Melnick 3,053 |
Rochelle Squires 5,024 |
Neil Johnston 1,627 |
Christine Melnick | ||||||||
Seine River | Lise Pinkos 2,343 |
Janice Morley-Lecomte 5,396 |
Peter Chura 2,388 |
Theresa Oswald | ||||||||
Southdale | Dashi Zargani 2,460 |
Andrew Smith 6,663 |
Ryan Colyer 1,318 |
vacant | ||||||||
St. Norbert | Dave Gaudreau 3,062 |
Jon Reyes 4,673 |
James Bloomfield 1,251 |
Narinder Kaur Johar 174 |
Dave Gaudreau | |||||||
St. Vital | Jamie Moses 2,831 |
Colleen Mayer 3,229 |
Bryan Van Wilgenburg 1,296 |
Kelly Whelan-Enns 791 |
Nancy Allan |
Notes
- ↑ Erin Selby (Southdale) and Peter Bjornson (Gimli) resigned their seats in 2015.[10] No by-elections were called and their seats remained vacant.
References
- ↑ Voting in a Manitoba Provincial Election. Retrieved June 24, 2012.
- ↑ "Brian Pallister's PCs win majority government in Manitoba". CBC News. 2016-04-19.
- ↑ Elections Act, sec. 49.1(2).
- ↑ Elections Act, sec. 49.1(3).
- ↑ Elections Act, sec. 49.1(1).
- ↑ http://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/choices-are-clear-selinger-makes-april-19-manitoba-election-official-1.2819225
- 1 2 "Manitoba election results 2016". Global News. 19 April 2016. Retrieved 19 April 2016.
- ↑ "Voters don't trust leaders, but Pallister fares better than rivals: poll". Winnipeg Free Press, April 9, 2016.
- ↑ "Manitobans go to the polls in provincial election". CBC News. 19 April 2016. Retrieved 19 April 2016.
- ↑ http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/opinion/columnists/Selingers-shuffle-making-the-best-of-a-bad-situation--301769811.html
- ↑ "Demoted Manitoba politician, Jim Rondeau, to leave politics". Global News. April 13, 2015.
- ↑ "Former Manitoba cabinet minister not running". Global News. May 13, 2015.
- ↑ CBC News Manitoba, 24-11-2015
- ↑ http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/local/Longtime-NDP-MLA-Nancy-Allan-announces-retirement-305366321.html
- 1 2 "MLA Leanne Rowat will not seek reelection". Winnipeg Free Press. September 11, 2014.
- ↑ "River East MLA Bonnie Mitchelson Announces Retirement". CJOB. October 17, 2014.