Demography of the United Kingdom

NASA VIIRS, indicating population centres of the UK and Ireland

According to the 2011 census, the total population of the United Kingdom was around 63,182,000.[1] It is the 22nd-largest in the world. Its overall population density is 259 people per square kilometre (671 people per sq mi), with England having a significantly higher population density than Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland.[2] Almost one-third of the population lives in England's southeast, which is predominantly urban and suburban, with about 8 million in the capital city of London, the population density of which is just over 5,200 per square kilometre (13,468 per sq mi).[3]

The population of the United Kingdom is considered an example of a population that has undergone the 'demographic transition' - that is, the transition from a (typically) pre-industrial population with high birth and mortality rates and only slow population growth, through a stage of falling mortality and faster rates of population growth, to a stage of low birth and mortality rates with, again, lower rates of population growth. This population growth through 'natural change' has been accompanied in the past two decades by growth through net international migration into the UK.[4]

The United Kingdom's assumed high literacy rate (99% at age 15 and above)[5] is attributable to universal public education introduced for the primary level in 1870 (Scotland 1872, free 1890[6]) and secondary level in 1900. Parents are obliged to have their children educated from the ages of 5 to 16 (with legislation passed to raise this to 18), and can continue education free of charge in the form of A-Levels, vocational training or apprenticeship to age 18. About 40% of British students go on to post-secondary education (18+). The Church of England and the Church of Scotland function as the national churches in their respective countries, but all the major religions found in the world are represented in the United Kingdom.

The UK's population is predominantly White British. Being located close to continental Europe, the countries that formed the United Kingdom were subject to many invasions and migrations from the continent, especially from Scandinavia, including Roman occupation for several centuries. Historically, British people were thought to be descended mainly from the different ethnic stocks that settled there before the 11th century: pre-Celtic, Celtic, Anglo-Saxon, Viking and Norman. Although Celtic languages are partially spoken in Scotland, Cornwall, and Northern Ireland, the predominant language overall is English. In North and West Wales, Welsh is widely spoken as a first language, but much less so in the South East of the country, where English is the predominant language.

History

During the Industrial Revolution, the life expectancy of children increased dramatically. The proportion of the children born in London who died before the age of five decreased from 74.5 per thousand in 1730–1749 to 31.8 per thousand in 1810–1829.[7] According to Robert Hughes in The Fatal Shore, the population of England and Wales, which had remained steady at 6 million from 1700 to 1740, rose dramatically after 1740.

The first Census in 1801 revealed that the population of Great Britain was 10.5 million.[4][8] In 1800, the population of Ireland was between 4.5 and 5.5 million.[9][10]

The 1841 UK Census counted the population of England and Wales to be 15.9 million.[11] Ireland's population was 8.2 million in 1841.[12] The population of Scotland was 2.6 million.

The Great Irish Famine, which began in the 1840s, caused the deaths of one million Irish people, and caused well over a million to emigrate.[13] Mass emigration became entrenched as a result of the famine and the population continued to decline until the mid-20th century.

The population of England had almost doubled from 16.8 million in 1851 to 30.5 million in 1901. Ireland’s population decreased rapidly, from 8.2 million in 1841 to less than 4.5 million in 1901.[14]

Population

Map of population density in the UK as at the 2011 census.
Population density (people per km2) by country, 2012.

The estimated population of the United Kingdom in the 2011 census was 63.182 million of whom 31.029m were male and 32.153m female.[15]

Based on the 2011 census the population of England was 53.012m (84% of the UK), Scotland was estimated at 5.295m (8.4%), Wales was 3.063m (4.8%) and Northern Ireland 1.811m (2.9%).

Part Population (2011) Percentage (2011) Area[16] Population density
England 53,012,456 83.9 83.9
 
130,427 km² 406/km²
Scotland   5,295,000 8.4 8.4
 
  78,772 km²   67/km²
Wales   3,063,456 4.8 4.8
 
  20,778 km² 147/km²
Northern Ireland   1,810,863 2.9 2.9
 
  13,843 km² 130/km²
United Kingdom 63,181,775 100 100
 
243,820 km² 259/km²

The mid-2015 population estimates for the UK was 65.1m - approximately 54.8m for England (84% of the UK population), 5.4m for Scotland at 5.4m (8% of the UK population), 3.1m for Wales (5% of the UK population) and 1.9m for Northern Ireland (3% of the UK population).[17]

The UK Office for National Statistics' 2012-based National Population Projections [18] indicated that, if recent trends continue, the UK's population would increase to 73.3 million people by 2037. This is an average annual growth rate of 0.6% per annum. Projected population growth rates over that period vary for the different parts of the UK. For England it is 0.6% per annum, for Scotland and Wales, 0.3%, and for Northern Ireland 0.4%.

There are 13 urban areas that exceed 500,000 inhabitants, these being centred on London, Birmingham, Glasgow, Leeds and Bradford, Southampton and Portsmouth, Sheffield, Liverpool, Leicester, Manchester, Belfast, Bristol, Newcastle upon Tyne and Nottingham.[19]

Age structure

The key features of the age distribution profile for the UK population, as measured in the 2011 Census, were summarised in December 2012 by the Office for National Statistics in terms of peaks and wide bands of the pyramid reflecting high numbers of births in previous years, particularly for people aged 60–64 born following the Second World War and those aged 40–49, born during the 1960s baby boom. There is a smaller number of children aged five to nine years than ten years ago, which is a consequence of low numbers of births at the beginning of the 21st century, and the broadening of the pyramid in the 0–4 years category is due to a higher numbers of births in recent years. At higher ages, females outnumber males, reflecting the higher life expectancy of females. At lower ages, there are more males than females, reflecting that there are slightly more boys than girls born each year.[20][21]

The UK Office for National Statistics' 2014-based National Population Projections suggest that the average (median) population age would rise from 40.0 in 2014 to 42.9 in 2039 if current demographic trends continued.[22] More recent estimates for mid-2015 suggest the median age of the UK population was 40.0 years.[17]


Population pyramid for the United Kingdom as at the 2011 census.
Age structure for each five year band[23]
Ages attained
(years)
Population % of total
0–4 3,914,000 6.2
5–9 3,517,000 5.6
10–14 3,670,000 5.8
15–19 3,997,000 6.3
20–24 4,297,000 6.8
25–29 4,307,000 6.8
30–34 4,126,000 6.5
35–39 4,194,000 6.6
40–44 4,626,000 7.3
45–49 4,643,000 7.3
50–54 4,095,000 6.5
55–59 3,614,000 5.7
60–64 3,807,000 6.0
65–69 3,017,000 4.8
70–74 2,463,000 3.9
75–79 2,006,000 3.2
80–84 1,496,000 2.4
85–89 918,000 1.5
90+ 476,000 0.8
Age structure for men and women in 2011[24]
Age group Population %
Male
(million)
Female
(million)
Total
(million)
0–14 5.681 5.419 11.100 17.6
15–64 20.751 20.953 41.704 66.0
65+ 4.597 5.781 10.37816.4
All ages 31.029 32.153 63.182 100

UK population change over time

Population at census dates[25][26]
United Kingdom Population
at start of period
Average annual change Average annual births Average annual deaths Average annual natural change Average annual net migration
and other changes
Population density
at start of period
1901  1911 38,237,000 385,000 1,091,000 624,000 467,000 -82,000 156/km²
1911  1921 42,082,000 195,000 975,000 689,000 286,000 -92,000 172/km²
1921  1931 44,027,000 201,000 824,000 555,000 268,000 -67,000 180/km²
1931  1951 46,038,000 213,000 793,000 603,000 190,000  22,000 188/km²
1951  1961 50,225,000 258,000 839,000 593,000 246,000  12,000 205/km²
1961  1971 52,807,000 312,000 962,000 638,000 324,000 -12,000 216/km²
1971  1981 55,928,000 42,000 736,000 666,000 69,000 -27,000 229/km²
1981  1991 56,357,000 108,000 757,000 655,000 103,000   5,000 231/km²
1991  2001 57,439,000 161,000 731,000 631,000 100,000  61,000 235/km²
2001  2011 59,113,000 324,000 722,000 588,000 134,000 191,000 242/km²
2011  2021 63,182,000 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 259/km²

Population density based on a calculated 243,820 km² area of the United Kingdom

Current vital statistics

Source:[27]

Social issues

Fertility

In 2012, the UK's total fertility rate (TFR) was 1.92 children per woman,[28] below the replacement rate, which in the UK is 2.075.[29] In 2001, the TFR was at a record low of 1.63, but it then increased every year until it reached a peak of 1.96 in 2008, before decreasing again.[28] The TFR was considerably higher during the 1960s 'baby boom', peaking at 2.95 children per woman in 1964.[30] In 2012 and 2013, England and Wales's TFR decreased to 1.85.[28][31] In Scotland however TFR is lower: it decreased from 1.75 in 2010 to 1.67 in 2012.[28] Northern Ireland has the highest TFR in the UK, standing at 2.02 in 2010 and 2.03 in 2012.[28]

In 2014, 27% of births were to mothers born outside the UK, a 0.5 point increase since 2013. The 2014 fertility rate was higher for foreign born mothers (2.09) than UK-born mothers (1.76). In the 2010-14 time period, the most common country of births for mothers (excluding the UK) was Poland, Pakistan and India; and Poland and India for fathers. Within the UK, Newham, London had the highest rate of births to non-UK mothers (76.7%) and Torfaen, Wales the lowest (3.2%).[32]

LGBT

There are known difficulties in producing reliable estimates of the lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender population.

The Integrated Household Survey,[33] published by the Office for National Statistics, provides the following estimates for the adult UK population as at 2011:

Other sources provide alternative estimates of the population by sexual orientation.

One British journal published in 2004 estimated that approximately 5% of the British population is gay.[34] A government figure estimated in 2005 that there are 3.6 million gay people in Britain comprising 6 percent of the population.,[35] though a report by the Equality and Human Rights Commission [36] described that estimate as 'of questionable validity' when set against available survey estimates.

The Gender Identity Research and Education Society (GIRES) estimated in 2009 that "56,000 might potentially be transsexual people".[37] They note that it's very difficult to make a reliable estimate. This would be 0.09% of the population at the time.

Country of birth

Below are the 60 largest foreign-born groups in the UK according to 2014 and 2015 ONS estimates.

Country of birth Estimated population, 2014[38] Estimated population, 2015[39]
United Kingdom 54,786,000 55,642,000
Poland 790,000 831,000
India 793,000 795,000
Pakistan 523,000 503,000
Republic of Ireland 383,000 382,000
Germany 301,000 286,000
Romania 170,000 220,000
Bangladesh 212,000 217,000
South Africa 201,000 200,000
Nigeria 178,000 199,000
China 196,000 197,000
United States 187,000 181,000
Italy 150,000 162,000
France 147,000 153,000
Lithuania 137,000 151,000
Portugal 127,000 140,000
Jamaica 136,000 137,000
Kenya 129,000 134,000
Sri Lanka 139,000 132,000
Philippines 128,000 132,000
Australia 126,000 125,000
Spain 119,000 125,000
Somalia 114,000 114,000
Zimbabwe 120,000 112,000
Ghana 92,000 108,000
Latvia 102,000 94,000
Canada 86,000 87,000
Iran 80,000 86,000
Slovakia 75,000 85,000
Hungary 79,000 80,000
Afghanistan 81,000 76,000
Turkey 82,000 72,000
Iraq 79,000 71,000
Netherlands 66,000 69,000
Bulgaria 65,000 69,000
Nepal 70,000 67,000
Malaysia 64,000 62,000
Cyprus 60,000 60,000
Uganda 51,000 60,000
New Zealand 63,000 59,000
Greece 52,000 57,000
Brazil 47,000 53,000
Czech Republic 42,000 49,000
Russia 40,000 46,000
Taiwan 38,000 45,000
Singapore 46,000 44,000
Japan 30,000 43,000
Tanzania 34,000 41,000
Thailand 40,000 39,000
Egypt 35,000 38,000
Belgium 20,000 35,000
Mauritius 41,000 34,000
Sweden 26,000 31,000
Sierra Leone 24,000 31,000
Saudi Arabia 34,000 30,000
Vietnam 28,000 29,000
Malta 27,000 28,000
Denmark 25,000 28,000
Albania 20,000 28,000
Zambia 31,000 27,000
DR Congo 24,000 24,000
Libya 24,000 24,000
Colombia 24,000 24,000
Estimated foreign-born population by country of birth, April 2007 – March 2008. 
Estimated foreign-nationals population by country of nationality, April 2007 – March 2008. 

Ethnicity

Map showing the percentage of the population who are not white according to the 2011 census.

Census estimate for the main ethnic group categories

Ethnic Group 2001[40][41][42][43] 2011[44]
Number % Number % 2001–2011
White 54,153,898 92.12% 55,073,552 87.17%
Increase1.81%
White: Irish Traveller 63,193 0.10%
Asian or Asian British: Total 2,578,826 4.39% 4,373,339 6.92%
Increase69.58%
Asian or Asian British: Indian 1,053,411 1.79% 1,451,862 2.30%
Increase37.82%
Asian or Asian British: Pakistani 747,285 1.27% 1,173,892 1.86%
Increase57.09%
Asian or Asian British: Bangladeshi 283,063 0.48% 451,529 0.71%
Increase59.51%
Asian or Asian British: Chinese[note 1] 247,403 0.42% 433,150 0.69%
Increase75.08%
Asian or Asian British: Asian Other 247,664 0.42% 861,815 1.36%
Black or Black British[note 2] 1,148,738 1.95% 1,904,684 3.01%
Increase65.80%
British Mixed 677,117 1.15% 1,250,229 1.98%
Increase84.64%
Other: Total 230,615 0.39% 580,374 0.92%
Total 58,789,194 100.00% 63,182,178 100.00%
Increase7.47%

Note:

  1. In 2001, listed under the "Other ethnic group" heading.
  2. For the purpose of harmonising results to make them comparable across the UK, the ONS includes individuals in Scotland who classified themselves in the "African" category (29,638 people), which in the Scottish version of the census is separate from "Caribbean or Black" (6,540 people),[45] in this grouping. The ONS note that "the African categories used in Scotland could potentially capture White/Asian/Other African in addition to Black identities".[46]

Religion

This chart shows the proportion of UK citizens responses with regards to their religion at the 2011 census.
Percentage of respondents in the 2011 census in the UK who said they were Christian.

The British Social Attitudes Survey found in 2012 that the non-religious outnumbered Christians (48% vs 46%). Six percent identified as something else. Discrepancies found between surveys may be the result of differences in phrasing, question order, and data collection method.[47]

In a YouGov poll 2011 35% of the total respondents were either very or fairly religious vs 63% who were not very religious or not religious at all, with the remaining 2% unsure.

The traditional religion in the United Kingdom is Christianity. In England the established church is the Church of England (Anglican). In Scotland, the Church of Scotland (a Presbyterian Church) is regarded as the 'national church' but there is not an established church.

In Wales there is no established church, with the Church in Wales having been disestablished in 1920. Likewise, in Ireland the Church of Ireland was disestablished in 1871. In Northern Ireland and similarly in parts of Scotland, there is a sectarian divide between Roman Catholic and Protestant communities.

The table below shows data regarding religion for the 2001 and 2011 censuses:

Religion 2001[48][49][50][51] 2011[52][53][54][55]
Number % Number %
Christian42,079,41771.58%37,583,96259.49%
Muslim1,591,1262.71%2,786,6354.41%
Hindu558,8100.95%835,3941.32%
Sikh336,1490.57%432,4290.68%
Jewish266,7400.45%269,5680.43%
Buddhist151,8160.26%261,5840.41%
Other religion178,8370.30%262,7740.42%
No religion 16,221,50925.67%
Religion not stated 4,528,3237.17%
(No religion and Religion not stated)13,626,29923.18%20,749,83232.84%
Total population58,789,194100.00%63,182,178100.00%

These figures represent a decrease of 11% in the number of people identifying themselves as Christian in the 10-year period from 2001 to 2011, and an increase of 52% in the number of people stating that they have no religion.[56]

In the 2011 Census, rather than select one of the specified religions offered on the Census form, many people chose to write in their own religion. Some of these religions were reassigned to one of the main religions offered. In England and Wales, 241,000 people belonged to religious groups which did not fall into any of the main religions.[57] The largest of these were Pagans (57,000) and Spiritualists (39,000). The census also recorded 177,000 people stating their religion as Jedi Knight. These returns were classified as "No religion", along with Atheist, Agnostic, Heathen and those who ticked "Other" but did not write in any religion.

An Office for National Statistics survey of 450,000 Britons in 2010 found that 71% are Christian, 4% are Muslim and 21% have no religious affiliation.[58]

Languages

The United Kingdom's de facto official language is English which is spoken as a first language by 95% of the population. Six regional languages; Scots, Ulster-Scots, Welsh, Cornish, Irish and Scottish Gaelic are protected under the European Charter for Regional or Minority Languages. Abilities in these languages (other than Cornish) for those aged three and above were recorded in the UK census 2011 as follows.[59][60][61]

Ability Wales Scotland Northern Ireland
Welsh Scottish Gaelic Scots Irish Ulster-Scots
Number % Number % Number % Number % Number %
Understands but does not speak, read or write 157,792 5.15% 23,357 0.46% 267,412 5.22% 70,501 4.06% 92,040 5.30%
Speaks, reads and writes 430,717 14.06% 32,191 0.63% 1,225,622 23.95% 71,996 4.15% 17,228 0.99%
Speaks but does not read or write 80,429 2.63% 18,966 0.37% 179,295 3.50% 24,677 1.42% 10,265 0.59%
Speaks and reads but does not write 45,524 1.49% 6,218 0.12% 132,709 2.59% 7,414 0.43% 7,801 0.45%
Reads but does not speak or write 44,327 1.45% 4,646 0.09% 107,025 2.09% 5,659 0.33% 11,911 0.69%
Other combination of skills 40,692 1.33% 1,678 0.03% 17,381 0.34% 4,651 0.27% 959 0.06%
No skills 2,263,975 73.90% 5,031,167 98.30% 3,188,779 62.30% 1,550,813 89.35% 1,595,507 91.92%
Total 3,063,456 100.00% 5,118,223 100.00% 5,118,223 100.00% 1,735,711 100.00% 1,735,711 100.00%
Can speak 562,016 18.35% 57,602 1.13% 1,541,693 30.12% 104,943 6.05% 35,404 2.04%
Has some ability 799,481 26.10% 87,056 1.70% 1,929,444 37.70% 184,898 10.65% 140,204 8.08%

Cornish is spoken by around 2,500 people. In the 2011 census 464 respondents aged three and over in Cornwall said that Cornish was their main language, amounting to 0.09% of the total population of Cornwall aged three and over.

Distribution of those who stated they could speak a regional language in the 2011 census.
Welsh 
Scots 
Scottish Gaelic 
Irish 
Ulster-Scots 

After English, Polish was the second most common language given in the United Kingdom census 2011. 618,091 respondents aged three and over said that Polish was their main language, amounting to 1.01% of the total population of the United Kingdom aged three and over.

The French language is spoken in some parts of the Channel Islands although the islands, like the Isle of Man, are not part of the United Kingdom.[62] British Sign Language is also common.

National identity

Respondents to the 2011 UK census gave their national identities as follows.[63][64][65]

National identity United Kingdom Country
England Scotland Wales Northern Ireland
English only 51.41% 60.38% 2.28% 11.22% 0.60%
Scottish only 5.93% 0.79% 62.43% 0.50% 0.37%
Welsh only 3.26% 0.55% 0.15% 57.51% 0.06%
Northern Irish only 0.81% 0.21% 0.33% 0.14% 20.94%
British only 18.77% 19.19% 8.37% 16.95% 39.89%
English and British only 7.82% 9.09% 1.26% 1.54% 0.27%
Scottish and British only 1.67% 0.15% 18.29% 0.07% 0.09%
Welsh and British only 0.44% 0.11% 0.06% 7.11% 0.02%
Northern Irish and British only 0.22% 0.03% 0.15% 0.02% 6.17%
Other combination of UK identities only (excludes Irish) 0.45% 0.37% 1.01% 1.10% 0.13%
Other identity and at least one UK identity 0.97% 0.90% 1.25% 0.43% 3.05%
Irish only 1.31% 0.64% 0.41% 0.32% 25.26%
Other 6.94% 7.59% 4.01% 3.10% 3.12%
Total 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Education

University Place, University of Manchester

Each country of the United Kingdom has a separate education system, with power over education matters in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland being devolved.

The Secretary of State for Education and the Secretary of State for Innovation, Universities and Skills are responsible to the UK Parliament for education in England. Depending on the status of state schools control of day-to-day administration and funding may either be the responsibility of the local education authorities or the school's own governing institution. Universal state education in England and Wales was introduced for primary level in 1870 and secondary level in 1900.[66] Education is mandatory from ages five to sixteen (15 if born in late July or August). The majority of children are educated in state-sector schools, only a small proportion of which select on the grounds of academic ability. Despite a fall in actual numbers, the proportion of children in England attending private schools rose slightly from 7.1% to 7.3% between 2004 and 2007.[67]

Just over half of students at the leading universities of Cambridge and Oxford had attended state schools.[68] State schools that are allowed to select pupils according to intelligence and academic ability can achieve comparable results to the most selective private schools: out of the top ten performing schools in terms of GCSE results in 2006, two were state-run grammar schools. England has four Universities ranked amongst the top ten in the 2011 THES - QS World University Rankings.[69]

In Scotland, the Cabinet Secretary for Education and Lifelong Learning is responsible to the Scottish Parliament for education, with day-to-day administration and funding of state schools being the responsibility of Local Authorities. Scotland first legislated for universal provision of education in 1696. The proportion of children in Scotland attending private schools is just over 4%, though it has been rising slowly in recent years.[70] Scottish students who attend Scottish universities pay neither tuition fees nor graduate endowment charges, as the fees were abolished in 2001 and the graduate endowment scheme was abolished in 2008.[71]

The National Assembly for Wales has responsibility for education in Wales. A significant number of students in Wales are educated either wholly or largely through the medium of Welsh and lessons in the language are compulsory for all until the age of 16. There are plans to increase the provision of Welsh-medium schools as part of the policy of having a fully bilingual Wales.

The Northern Ireland Assembly is responsible for education in Northern Ireland though responsibility at a local level is administered by 5 Education and Library Boards covering different geographical areas.

The UK has some of the top universities in the world with Cambridge, Oxford and Imperial College ranked amongst the top 10 in the 2014-15 Times Higher Education World University Rankings.

See also

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