Criticism of the Kyoto Protocol
Although it is a worldwide treaty, the Kyoto Protocol has received severe criticism.
Criticism of the Kyoto Protocol
Some also argue the protocol does not go far enough to curb greenhouse emissions and avoid dangerous climate change[1] (Niue, The Cook Islands, and Nauru added notes to this effect when signing the protocol).[2]
Some environmental economists have been critical of the Kyoto Protocol.[3][4][5] Many see the costs of the Kyoto Protocol as outweighing the benefits, some believing the standards which Kyoto sets to be too optimistic, others seeing a highly inequitable and inefficient agreement which would do little to curb greenhouse gas emissions.[6] There are also economists who believe that an entirely different approach needs to be followed than the approach suggested by the Kyoto Protocol.[7]
Base year as 1990 controversy
Further, there is controversy surrounding the use of 1990 as a base year, as well as not using per capita emissions as a basis. Countries had different achievements in energy efficiency in 1990. For example, the former Soviet Union and eastern European countries did little to tackle the problem and their energy efficiency was at its worst level in 1990, the year just before their communist regimes fell. On the other hand, Japan, as a big importer of natural resources, had to improve its efficiency after the 1973 oil crisis and its emissions level in 1990 was better than most developed countries. However, such efforts were set aside, and the inactivity of the former Soviet Union was overlooked and could even generate big income due to the emission trade. There is an argument that the use of per capita emissions as a basis in the following Kyoto-type treaties can reduce the sense of inequality among developed and developing countries alike, as it can reveal in activities and responsibilities among countries.
James Hansen's criticism
James E. Hansen, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies and eminent climate scientist, has claimed that the United Nations Climate Change Conference taking place at the Bella Center in Copenhagen, Denmark, between December 7–18, 2009 (which includes the 15th Conference of the Parties (COP 15) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and the 5th Meeting of the Parties (COP/MOP 5) to the Kyoto Protocol is a 'farce' and planned to boycott it because it was seeking a counter-productive agreement to limit emissions through an inefficient and indulgent “cap and trade” system. “They are selling indulgences there" Hansen states. "The developed nations want to continue basically business as usual so they are expected to purchase indulgences to give some small amount of money to developing countries. They do that in the form of offsets and adaptation funds.” Hansen prefers a progressive “carbon tax”, not the Kyoto Protocol “cap and trade” system; this tax would begin at the equivalent of about $1 per gallon of petrol and revenues would all be returned directly to members of the public as a dividend inversely proportional to their carbon footprint.[8]
"So, for example, in the Kyoto Protocol, that was very ineffective. Even the countries that took on supposedly the strongest requirements, like Japan for example—if you look at its actual emissions, its actual fossil fuel use, you see that their CO2 emissions actually increased even though they were supposed to decrease. Because their coal use increased and they used offsets to meet their objective. Offsets don’t help significantly. That’s why the approach that Copenhagen is using to specify goals for emission reductions and then to allow offsets to accomplish much of that reduction is really a fake. And that has to be exposed. Otherwise, just like in the Kyoto Protocol, we’ll realize 10 years later, oops, it really didn’t do much." [9]
Green organizations' criticism
Rising Tide North America claims: "Emission limits do not include emissions by international aviation and shipping, but are in addition to the industrial gases, chlorofluorocarbons, or CFCs, which are dealt with under the 1987 Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer. The benchmark 1990 emission levels were accepted by the Conference of the Parties of UNFCCC (decision 2/CP.3)"
Criticism of Carbon Trade
There are a large number of critics of carbon trading as a control mechanism. Critics include environmental justice nongovernmental organizations,[10] economists, labor organizations and those concerned about energy supply and excessive taxation. Some see carbon trading as a government takeover of the free market.[11] They argue that trading pollution allowances should be avoided because they result in failures in accounting, dubious science and the destructive impacts of projects upon local peoples and environments.[12] Instead, they advocate making reductions at the source of pollution and energy policies that are justice-based and community-driven.[13] Many argue that emissions trading schemes based upon cap and trade will necessarily reduce jobs and incomes.[14] Most of the criticisms have focused on the carbon market created through investment in Kyoto Mechanisms. Criticism of cap-and-trade emissions trading has generally been more limited to lack of credibility in the first phase of the EU ETS.[15]
Critics argue that emissions trading does little to solve pollution problems overall, since groups that do not pollute sell their conservation to the highest bidder. Overall reductions would need to come from a sufficient reduction of allowances available in the system.
Regulatory agencies run the risk of issuing too many emission credits, diluting the effectiveness of regulation, and practically removing the cap. In this case, instead of a net reduction in carbon dioxide emissions, beneficiaries of emissions trading simply pollute more.[16] The National Allocation Plans by member governments of the European Union Emission Trading Scheme were criticised for this when it became apparent that actual emissions would be less than the government-issued carbon allowances at the end of Phase I of the scheme. Certain emissions trading schemes have been criticised for the practice of grandfathering, where polluters are given free allowances by governments, instead of being made to pay for them.[17] Critics instead advocate for auctioning the credits. The proceeds could be used for research and development of sustainable technology.[18]
Critics of carbon trading, such as Carbon Trade Watch, argue that it places disproportionate emphasis on individual lifestyles and carbon footprints, distracting attention from the wider, systemic changes and collective political action that needs to be taken to tackle climate change resulting from global warming.[11] Groups such as the Corner House have argued that the market will choose the easiest means to save a given quantity of carbon in the short term, which may be different from the pathway required to obtain sustained and sizable reductions over a longer period, and so a market-led approach is likely to reinforce technological lock-in. For instance, small cuts may often be achieved cheaply through investment in making a technology more efficient, where larger cuts would require scrapping the technology and using a different one. They also argue that emissions trading is undermining alternative approaches to pollution control with which it does not combine well, and so the overall effect it is having is to actually stall significant change to less polluting technologies.
The corresponding uncertainty under a tax is the level of emissions reductions achieved.
The Financial Times published an article about cap-and-trade systems which argued that "Carbon markets create a muddle" and "...leave much room for unverifiable manipulation".[19]
More recent criticism of emissions trading regarding implementation is that old growth forests, which have slow carbon absorption rates, are being cleared and replaced with fast-growing vegetation, to the detriment of the local communities.[20]
Recent proposals for alternative schemes to avoid the problems of cap-and-trade schemes include Cap and Share, which was being actively considered by the Irish Parliament in May 2008, and the Sky Trust schemes.[10] These schemes state that cap-and-trade or cap-and-tax schemes inherently impact the poor and those in rural areas, who have less choice in energy consumption options.
See also
References
- ↑ Ekardt/von Hövel, Carbon & Climate Law Review 2009, p. 102-114
- ↑ "Kyoto protocol status(pdf)" (PDF). UNFCCC. Retrieved 2006-11-07.
- ↑ Mendelsohn, Robert O. (2005-02-18). "An Economist's View of the Kyoto Climate Treaty". NPR. Retrieved 2006-11-07.
- ↑ Hilsenrath, Jon E. (2001-08-07). "Environmental Economists Debate Merit of U.S.'s Kyoto Withdrawal". Wall Street Journal. Retrieved 2006-11-07.
- ↑ Nature. "Gwyn Prins and Steve Rayner calling for radical rethink of Kyoto-protocol approach". Nature.com. Retrieved 2009-05-21.
- ↑ "The Impact of the Kyoto Protocol on U.S. Economic Growth and Projected Budget Surpluses". Archived from the original on 2005-11-04. Retrieved 2005-11-15.
- ↑ "Radical rethinking of approach needed says Steve Rayner and Gwyn Prins". Lse.ac.uk. Retrieved 2009-05-21.
- ↑ Climate scientist James Hansen hopes summit will fail, James Bone, Times Online, December 3, 2009
- ↑ Interview with James Hansen Nell Greenberg in Grist Magazine 28 Sept 2009
- 1 2 Ray Barrell, Alan Barrett, Noel Casserly, Frank Convery, Jean Goggin, Ide Kearney, Simon Kirby, Pete Lunn, Martin O’Brien and Lisa Ryan. 2009. Budget Perspectives, Tim Callan (ed.)
- 1 2 "Carbon Trade Watch".
- ↑ Lohmann, Larry (2006-12-02). "Carry on polluting (The Corner House)". The Corner House. Retrieved 2009-04-03.
- ↑ Lohmann, Larry. "Ways forward (The Corner House)". The Corner House. Retrieved 2009-04-03.
- ↑ Don Fullerton and Gilbert E. Metcalf (2002). "Cap and trade policies in the presence of monopoly and distortionary taxation". National Bureau of Economic Research. Retrieved 2009-12-09.
- ↑ http://www.tni.org/carbon-trade-fails
- ↑ http://www.cnri.co.in/CNRI_DECEMBER2007.pdf
- ↑ http://www.climnet.org/EUenergy/ET/NAPsReport_Summary0306.pdf
- ↑ "Climate change | The greening of America | Economist.com". Economist.com<!. 2007-01-25. Retrieved 2009-04-03.
- ↑ "/ Home UK / UK — Carbon markets create a muddle". Ft.com. 2007-04-26. Retrieved 2009-04-03.
- ↑ "World Rainforest Movement". Wrm.org.uy. Retrieved 2009-04-03.
Notes
- http://www.ilr.cornell.edu/globallaborinstitute/projects/climate/retreat/upload/ClimateFederalSweeney.pdf list of various NGOs that opposes carbon trade and claim Kyoto Protocol is not enough
- Stop Climate Chaos coalition of NGOs that argues Kyoto is not enough
- Carbon Trade Watch http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/6132826.stm BBC
- Transnational Institute http://www.tni.org/archives/reports_ctw_sky full report
- Transnational Institute http://www.tni.org/carbon-trade-fails full report published by Dag Hammarskjöld Foundation
- The Corner House (organisation) http://www.thecornerhouse.org.uk/item.shtml?x=51982 report
- http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/blogs/beltway-confidential/Scientists-urge-Merkel-to-change-global-warming-view--52513912.html Scientists urge Merkel to change global warming view
- https://web.archive.org/web/20110701145855/http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Files.View&FileStore_id=83947f5d-d84a-4a84-ad5d-6e2d71db52d9 Minority Report from US Senate
- http://pubs.acs.org/cen/letters/87/8730letters.html Letter of the chemistry scientist repudiating the chief editor of their scientific magazine
External links
James Hansen
- http://www.treehugger.com/files/2009/12/nasa-climate-change-scientist-to-boycott-copenhagen-climate-summit.php TreeHugger
- http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/2009/mar/18/nasa-climate-change-james-hansen The Guardian
- http://www.thestar.com/sciencetech/Environment/article/285582 Toronto Star
- http://www.ecofactory.com/news/top-nasa-climate-scientist-copenhagen-must-fail-120309
- Hansen quotes over climate change at British scientific journal Nature (journal)
- http://www.nature.com/climate/2009/0912/full/climate.2009.127.html nature.com
- http://www.nature.com/climate/2009/0912/full/climate.2009.124.html
- http://www.nature.com/climate/2009/0905/full/climate.2009.42.html
- http://www.nature.com/climate/2009/0905/full/climate.2009.41.html
- http://www.nature.com/climate/2009/0905/full/climate.2009.34.html
- http://www.nature.com/climate/2009/0903/full/climate.2009.19.html
- http://www.nature.com/climate/2009/0902/full/climate.2009.3.html
- http://www.nature.com/climate/2008/0812/full/climate.2008.122.html
- http://www.nature.com/climate/2008/0802/full/climate.2008.3.html
- http://www.nature.com/climate/2007/0709/full/climate.2007.41.html
- http://www.nature.com/climate/2009/0901/full/climate.2008.142.html
- A graphical representation of the protocol's failures & achievements