Opinion polling for the next Italian general election

In the run-up to the next Italian general election, various organisations have been carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intention.

Results of such opinion polls are displayed in this article. The date range is from after the previous general election, held on 24–25 February 2013, to the present day.

First round

Graphical summary

The chart shows the relative state of the parties from 25 February 2013 to the date the next election is presumably held.

Each line's colour corresponds to a political party:

  Democratic Party (PD)
  Five Star Movement (M5S)
  Forza Italia (FI)
  Civic Choice (SC)
  New Centre-Right/Popular Area (NCD/AP)
  Lega Nord+Us with Salvini (LN+NcS)
  Left Ecology Freedom/Italian Left (SEL/SI)
  Brothers of Italy (FdI)
  Union of the Centre (UdC)

Party vote

Poll results are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold and the background is shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead. Forza Italia's numbers prior to 16 November 2013 refer to the party's predecessor, The People of Freedom. Since December 2014 results for Lega Nord also include data for sister party Us with Salvini, even though only a minority of the polling firms explicitly mention it in the survey questions. Finally, since November 2015, Left Ecology Freedom is sometimes polled as Italian Left, a parliamentary group and a SEL-led coalition of left-wing parties.

2016

Date Polling firm M5S PD FI LN SI FdI AP Others Lead
25–27 Nov EMG 29.9 31.0 10.5 13.1 3.5 4.2 3.5 3.8 1.1
17–19 Nov EMG 30.6 30.8 10.5 13.1 3.1 4.2 3.4 4.3 0.2
17 Nov Lorien 31.8 31.5 11.0 12.0 3.5 3.7 3.5 2.2 0.3
14–16 Nov SWG 27.8 32.0 11.8 12.9 3.4 4.0 3.2 4.9 4.2
10-12 Nov EMG 31.2 30.6 11.4 12.0 3.4 4.1 3.6 3.7 0.6
9–10 Nov SWG 27.3 32.8 12.4 12.6 3.2 3.6 3.3 4.8 5.5
7 Nov Lorien 31.8 31.6 11.8 12.3 3.5 3.8 3.2 2.1 0.2
4-6 Nov EMG 31.6 30.8 11.1 11.8 3.6 4.0 3.5 3.6 0.8
2–3 Nov SWG 27.2 32.7 11.6 12.2 3.2 3.9 3.2 6.0 5.5
2 Nov Ixè 29.1 33.4 9.5 13.4 3.7 3.2 2.4 5.3 4.3
26–27 Oct SWG 27.5 32.1 12.0 12.6 3.3 4.1 3.0 5.4 4.6
24–27 Oct Demos 30.1 31.8 11.8 9.7 5.1 4.2 4.3 3.0 1.7
26 Oct Ixè 29.3 33.1 9.6 13.9 4.0 2.9 1.8 5.4 3.8
21–23 Oct EMG 30.3 30.9 11.7 11.7 3.7 4.0 3.4 4.3 0.6
21–22 Oct Tecnè 26.5 32.0 14.5 13.0 3.0 4.5 3.0 3.5 5.5
19–20 Oct SWG 26.5 33.0 12.6 12.0 3.5 3.9 3.1 5.4 6.5
19 Oct Ixè 29.0 32.9 9.8 14.2 4.3 2.5 1.9 5.4 3.9
15–16 Oct EMG 29.6 31.5 11.3 12.3 4.0 4.1 3.4 3.8 1.9
15 Oct IPR 27.0 32.0 11.5 13.5 3.5 5.0 2.5 5.0 5.0
14–15 Oct Tecnè 26.5 31.5 14.0 13.5 3.5 5.0 2.5 3.5 5.0
13 Oct Lorien 31.5 31.7 11.0 13.5 3.2 3.5 3.1 2.5 0.2
13 Oct Index 29.4 30.7 11.0 12.4 4.0 4.3 4.0 4.2 1.3
12–13 Oct SWG 27.1 31.4 13.0 12.3 3.6 4.0 3.0 5.6 4.3
12 Oct Ixè 28.9 32.4 10.3 14.1 3.9 2.4 2.3 5.7 3.3
8–9 Oct EMG 30.2 30.7 10.8 12.8 3.8 4.2 3.4 4.1 0.5
6–7 Oct ScenariPolitici 25.0 31.9 13.2 12.3 3.8 4.5 3.1 6.2 6.9
6 Oct Index 29.0 30.9 11.5 12.1 3.9 4.3 4.0 4.3 1.9
5–6 Oct SWG 26.3 31.8 13.2 13.1 3.5 3.6 3.2 5.5 5.5
5 Oct Ixè 29.1 33.2 9.9 13.3 3.9 2.5 2.5 5.6 4.1
3–5 Oct Bimedia 26.4 32.3 12.5 11.5 4.1 2.9 3.0 7.5 5.9
3 Oct Piepoli 26.5 32.5 11.0 11.0 3.0 5.0 4.0 7.0 6.0
1–2 Oct EMG 29.9 31.0 11.4 12.6 3.6 4.2 3.5 3.8 1.2
29–30 Sep ScenariPolitici 24.3 31.8 13.5 12.5 3.9 4.6 3.0 6.4 7.5
28–29 Sep SWG 26.0 30.9 13.4 14.1 3.6 3.5 3.4 5.1 4.9
28 Sep Ixè 28.4 32.6 10.5 13.6 3.6 2.1 2.5 6.7 4.2
24–25 Sep EMG 29.5 31.2 11.9 12.1 3.9 4.3 3.3 3.8 1.7
21–22 Sep SWG 25.6 30.5 13.9 13.9 3.9 3.7 3.4 5.1 4.9
21 Sep Ixè 28.1 32.0 11.2 12.5 3.9 2.5 2.5 7.3 3.9
20–21 Sep Index 29.0 31.2 11.2 11.8 4.0 4.2 4.0 4.6 2.2
19–21 Sep ScenariPolitici 25.0 32.3 12.9 12.3 3.6 4.5 3.1 6.3 7.3
17–18 Sep EMG 29.0 32.4 11.9 11.6 3.8 4.3 3.1 3.9 3.4
15–16 Sep ScenariPolitici 24.8 32.6 12.6 12.1 3.8 4.6 3.3 6.3 7.8
14–15 Sep SWG 24.8 31.5 13.8 13.9 3.5 4.1 3.6 4.8 6.7
14 Sep Ixè 28.6 32.6 10.9 13.0 3.7 2.3 2.7 6.2 4.0
12–14 Sep Demopolis 28.5 32.0 11.5 12.0 4.4 4.5 3.6 3.5 3.5
12 Sep Piepoli 27.0 31.5 11.0 12.0 2.5 5.0 3.0 8.0 4.5
12 Sep Index 29.3 31.5 11.3 11.6 4.1 4.3 3.8 4.1 2.2
10–11 Sep EMG 29.2 32.4 12.4 11.6 3.7 4.1 3.1 3.5 3.2
8–9 Sep ScenariPolitici 24.3 32.8 12.4 12.2 4.2 4.8 2.5 6.8 8.5
7–8 Sep SWG 25.1 31.0 13.9 14.1 3.4 3.9 3.4 5.2 5.9
6–8 Sep Demos&Pi 28.8 32.1 10.2 11.0 5.7 4.5 3.8 3.9 3.3
7 Sep Ixè 29.4 32.9 10.6 12.7 4.0 2.2 2.8 5.2 3.5
7 Sep Piepoli 27.5 32.0 11.5 12.0 2.0 5.0 3.0 7.0 4.5
3–4 Sep EMG 31.4 31.1 12.0 11.3 3.3 4.3 3.2 3.4 0.3
31 Aug–1 Sep SWG 29.5 30.4 13.6 12.8 2.5 3.9 3.5 3.8 0.9
31 Aug Ixè 30.3 32.6 10.3 13.1 4.1 2.3 2.7 4.6 2.3
31 Aug Piepoli 27.0 32.0 11.5 11.5 3.0 5.5 3.5 6.0 5.0
24–26 Aug ScenariPolitici 28.8 31.7 12.0 11.1 3.7 4.6 2.5 5.3 2.9
3–5 Aug ScenariPolitici 29.7 31.2 12.1 11.3 3.6 4.4 2.3 4.4 1.5
3–4 Aug SWG 29.0 30.8 13.4 13.0 2.9 3.5 3.6 3.8 1.8
3 Aug Ixè 29.5 31.6 10.3 13.9 2.9 3.8 2.3 6.7 2.1
1 Aug Piepoli 27.0 31.5 11.5 12.0 3.5 5.0 3.5 2.5 4.5
30–31 Jul EMG 31.9 31.4 11.5 11.8 3.3 4.0 3.3 2.8 0.5
27–28 Jul ScenariPolitici 29.4 30.8 12.5 11.5 3.7 4.2 2.9 4.3 1.4
27–28 Jul SWG 28.9 30.4 12.8 13.7 3.1 3.9 3.6 3.6 1.5
27 Jul Ixè 28.7 31.4 10.1 14.4 3.5 1.9 2.3 7.7 2.7
23–24 Jul EMG 31.6 31.0 12.0 12.6 3.2 3.9 3.2 2.5 0.6
20–21 Jul SWG 28.5 30.6 12.9 13.2 3.3 4.1 3.7 3.7 2.1
20 Jul Ixè 28.9 31.2 10.4 14.1 3.5 2.0 2.5 7.4 2.3
16–18 Jul Demopolis 30.0 30.5 11.0 12.6 4.3 4.4 3.5 3.7 0.5
16–17 Jul EMG 31.3 30.8 12.5 13.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.8 0.5
13–14 Jul SWG 29.0 31.0 13.3 12.7 3.4 3.8 3.6 3.2 2.0
13 Jul Ixè 29.0 31.4 10.1 13.6 3.4 2.1 2.7 7.7 2.4
11 Jul Piepoli 27.5 31.5 11.5 12.0 3.5 4.5 3.5 6.0 4.0
9–10 Jul EMG 30.9 30.9 13.2 13.4 2.7 3.8 2.9 2.2 0.0
8 Jul IPR 30.0 30.0 8.5 13.0 3.5 5.3 2.7 7.0 0.0
6–7 Jul SWG 29.5 30.5 13.1 13.2 3.4 3.3 3.5 3.5 1.0
6 Jul Ixè 29.5 30.9 10.3 13.3 3.5 2.3 2.9 3.1 1.4
2–3 Jul EMG 31.0 30.6 12.9 13.7 3.0 4.0 3.1 1.7 0.4
29 Jun–1 Jul ScenariPolitici 29.2 30.5 12.0 12.2 4.0 4.5 3.1 4.5 1.3
29–30 Jun SWG 30.4 30.7 12.1 12.5 3.5 3.9 3.5 3.4 0.3
29 Jun Piepoli 28.0 31.0 11.0 12.0 3.0 5.0 3.5 6.5 3.0
29 Jun Ixè 29.0 31.2 10.7 13.9 3.7 2.7 3.6 5.2 2.2
27–29 Jun Demos&Pi 32.3 30.2 11.5 11.8 5.4 2.7 2.5 3.6 2.1
27 Jun Lorien 31.4 30.5 10.0 15.5 3.0 3.2 2.8 3.6 0.9
27 Jun Euromedia 28.9 29.0 13.6 13.0 3.0 4.8 2.3 1.9 0.1
26 Jun Lorien 30.0 31.5 10.5 15.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 1.5
25–26 Jun EMG 31.7 31.2 11.7 12.4 3.4 4.3 3.3 2.0 0.5
23–24 Jun ScenariPolitici 28.8 30.3 11.8 12.2 4.2 4.7 3.2 4.8 1.5
23 Jun Ixè 28.2 31.0 11.1 13.0 4.1 3.1 3.9 5.6 2.8
22–23 Jun SWG 30.0 31.3 11.7 12.8 3.3 3.8 3.3 4.0 1.3
22 Jun Piepoli 27.5 31.0 11.5 12.0 3.5 5.0 3.5 6.0 3.5
21–22 Jun Demopolis 29.0 31.0 11.0 13.5 4.2 5.0 3.5 2.0 2.0
20 Jun Euromedia 28.5 29.3 13.6 13.1 3.4 4.5 2.5 5.1 0.8
18–19 Jun EMG 29.1 31.4 11.7 13.4 3.9 4.5 3.1 2.9 2.3
3–4 Jun EMG 27.7 30.7 11.9 14.4 4.3 4.7 2.9 3.4 3.0
20 May CISE 30.8 32.9 11.8 11.8 4.2 4.2 2.4 1.9 2.1
18–19 May IPR 26.0 31.5 10.5 13.5 4.0 5.5 3.0 6.0 5.5
18 May Ixè 28.7 30.6 11.9 14.2 4.0 3.7 2.6 3.5 1.9
17–18 May SWG 25.9 32.0 12.0 14.5 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.6 6.1
17–18 May Demopolis 27.0 31.2 10.3 14.4 4.5 4.8 3.7 2.0 4.2
16 May Euromedia 26.0 30.5 13.3 13.3 3.8 5.0 2.8 5.3 4.5
14–15 May EMG 27.7 30.6 12.0 14.2 4.2 4.7 2.8 3.8 2.9
13 May IPR 26.5 31.0 11.0 14.0 3.0 5.5 3.0 6.0 4.5
13 May Tecnè 27.5 30.0 13.0 14.0 4.0 4.5 3.0 4.0 2.5
11–12 May SWG 27.2 31.7 11.6 14.7 4.0 3.5 3.7 3.6 4.5
10–11 May Demopolis 28.0 31.0 10.0 14.5 4.5 4.8 3.6 3.6 3.0
11 May Ixè 28.2 30.4 12.3 14.0 4.6 3.6 2.3 4.6 2.2
7–8 May EMG 28.3 30.3 12.2 13.9 4.0 4.6 2.8 3.9 2.0
5 May Piepoli 26.5 31.5 12.0 13.0 3.5 5.0 2.5 6.0 5.0
4–5 May SWG 27.5 31.3 11.3 15.2 3.5 4.0 3.4 3.6 3.9
4 May Ixè 28.1 30.5 11.6 14.8 5.4 3.2 2.8 3.6 1.9
3 May IPR 27.0 30.0 11.0 14.0 4.0 5.5 3.0 5.5 3.0
2 May Euromedia 26.5 30.5 13.1 13.3 3.9 4.7 3.0 5.0 4.0
2 May Tecnè 28.5 30.0 13.5 13.5 3.5 4.5 3.5 3.0 1.5
30 Apr–1 May EMG 28.0 30.7 11.6 14.3 4.3 4.6 2.7 3.8 2.7
27–28 Apr SWG 28.0 32.1 11.1 14.5 3.7 3.5 3.7 3.6 3.1
27 Apr Ixè 27.1 30.9 11.0 15.1 5.8 3.6 3.4 3.1 3.8
26–27 Apr Ipsos 28.9 31.1 13.1 13.1 3.2 3.9 4.2 2.5 2.2
25 Apr Euromedia 25.7 31.0 12.8 13.5 4.0 4.8 3.0 5.2 5.3
23–24 Apr EMG 27.6 30.5 11.9 14.9 4.5 4.4 2.8 3.4 2.9
20–21 Apr ScenariPolitici 25.3 31.2 11.2 13.0 6.2 5.5 3.0 4.6 5.9
20–21 Apr SWG 26.4 32.0 12.3 15.2 3.4 3.8 3.5 3.4 5.6
20 Apr Ixè 26.3 31.8 10.4 14.4 6.4 3.9 3.3 3.5 5.5
20 Apr IPR 27.0 30.0 10.0 14.5 3.5 5.0 3.0 7.0 3.0
18–19 Apr Tecnè 27.5 30.5 12.5 13.5 4.5 5.5 3.0 3.0 3.0
18 Apr Euromedia 26.5 30.0 13.0 13.8 3.8 5.2 3.0 4.7 3.5
16–17 Apr EMG 27.3 30.6 12.2 14.7 4.6 4.4 3.2 3.0 3.3
14 Apr Ixè 25.4 33.1 9.9 13.8 6.1 4.0 2.9 6.4 7.7
13–14 Apr SWG 25.2 32.6 13.0 14.9 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.6 7.4
11 Apr Euromedia 26.3 30.3 13.5 13.9 3.9 5.5 3.0 4.1 4.0
9–10 Apr EMG 27.3 30.9 12.2 14.4 4.5 4.4 3.4 2.9 3.6
4–8 Apr Demos&Pi 27.3 30.1 12.0 13.5 5.5 5.4 3.3 2.9 2.8
7 Apr Ixè 25.8 33.5 10.4 14.0 5.3 3.9 2.7 4.4 7.7
7 Apr IPR 26.5 30.0 10.0 14.5 4.0 5.5 3.0 6.5 3.5
6–7 Apr SWG 24.3 33.2 12.4 14.6 3.7 4.0 3.5 4.3 8.9
4 Apr Euromedia 25.5 30.7 13.5 14.0 4.0 4.7 2.8 4.8 5.2
2–3 Apr EMG 27.4 32.1 12.6 13.8 4.3 4.4 3.4 2.9 4.7
30–31 Mar SWG 22.8 33.4 12.8 14.8 4.1 4.3 3.8 4.4 10.6
30 Mar Ixè 25.4 34.1 10.0 14.4 5.0 3.7 2.5 4.9 8.7
29 Mar Euromedia 25.0 32.5 13.1 14.2 3.3 4.7 2.7 4.5 7.5
29 Mar Tecnè 28.0 31.0 12.5 14.5 4.5 4.5 3.0 3.0 3.0
28 Mar Piepoli 26.0 32.0 12.0 14.0 3.0 4.5 2.5 6.0 6.0
26–27 Mar EMG 27.9 31.4 12.8 13.3 4.3 4.4 3.0 2.9 3.5
22–25 Mar ScenariPolitici 23.6 32.7 10.2 12.5 5.9 5.8 3.5 5.8 9.1
23–24 Mar SWG 23.0 34.0 12.8 14.7 4.0 3.9 3.3 4.3 11.0
23 Mar Ixè 25.0 34.6 10.2 14.1 5.1 3.5 2.9 4.6 9.6
21 Mar Piepoli 26.0 32.5 12.0 13.5 3.0 4.5 2.0 6.5 6.5
19–20 Mar EMG 27.2 31.6 12.7 13.8 4.4 4.5 2.8 3.0 4.4
16–18 Mar ScenariPolitici 23.6 32.4 9.8 12.9 6.2 5.5 3.4 6.2 8.8
16–17 Mar SWG 22.4 33.6 12.8 15.4 4.1 3.6 3.4 4.7 11.2
16 Mar Ixè 24.8 34.5 10.5 14.3 5.0 3.6 3.1 4.2 9.7
16 Mar IPR 25.0 31.0 11.0 15.0 3.0 5.0 3.0 7.0 6.0
15 Mar Euromedia 25.1 32.1 13.0 14.7 3.2 4.7 2.6 4.6 7.0
14–15 Mar Tecnè 26.0 32.0 13.0 13.5 4.0 5.0 3.0 3.5 6.0
14 Mar Piepoli 26.0 33.0 12.0 13.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 7.0 7.0
12–13 Mar EMG 26.4 31.7 12.6 14.6 4.0 4.4 3.1 3.2 5.3
12 Mar Ipsos 26.9 32.2 13.0 13.2 3.2 4.2 3.9 3.4 5.3
9–10 Mar SWG 23.0 34.8 12.0 14.7 3.5 3.8 3.3 4.9 11.8
8–10 Mar ScenariPolitici 25.4 32.2 9.1 13.5 5.6 4.6 3.3 6.4 6.8
9 Mar Ixè 24.5 34.3 10.6 14.7 5.3 3.3 3.0 4.3 9.7
8–9 Mar Demopolis 26.0 32.2 10.2 14.8 4.2 4.5 3.8 4.3 6.2
7 Mar Piepoli 25.0 32.0 11.0 14.0 4.0 5.0 2.0 7.0 7.0
8 Mar Euromedia 24.9 32.5 12.5 15.2 3.4 4.5 2.5 4.5 7.6
5–6 Mar EMG 26.6 31.2 12.5 14.9 4.0 4.8 3.0 3.0 4.6
1–3 Mar ScenariPolitici 24.5 31.7 9.7 12.1 5.4 5.9 1.8 8.7 7.2
2 Mar Ixè 24.1 33.8 11.2 14.2 4.5 3.6 2.7 6.6 9.7
1–2 Mar SWG 22.1 35.5 12.4 13.7 3.6 4.0 3.4 5.3 13.4
1 Mar Euromedia 25.0 32.0 12.5 15.5 3.0 5.0 2.6 4.4 7.0
27–28 Feb EMG 26.4 31.3 12.5 14.8 4.1 5.1 3.2 2.6 4.9
24–25 Feb SWG 21.2 34.1 13.5 14.4 3.7 4.5 3.1 5.5 12.9
23–25 Feb ScenariPolitici 21.6 33.1 9.3 14.0 5.0 4.6 3.1 9.2 11.5
23–25 Feb Demos&Pi 25.8 32.2 13.3 13.2 5.5 4.7 2.1 3.2 6.4
24 Feb Ixè 24.5 33.4 11.5 14.5 4.7 4.0 2.3 4.8 8.9
22 Feb Euromedia 25.3 31.8 11.7 16.0 3.4 5.3 2.5 4.0 6.5
20–21 Feb EMG 25.4 32.2 12.5 14.4 3.7 5.3 3.7 2.8 6.8
18 Feb Tecnè 28.0 31.0 12.5 14.5 3.5 5.5 2.5 2.5 3.0
17–18 Feb SWG 23.2 34.4 12.2 13.9 3.7 4.3 3.4 4.9 11.2
16–18 Feb ScenariPolitici 24.7 32.8 9.5 14.1 4.6 5.1 2.5 6.8 8.1
17 Feb Ixè 24.4 33.9 11.8 13.8 5.1 4.2 1.9 4.9 9.5
17 Feb Lorien 25.8 33.8 10.9 15.2 3.2 3.4 3.2 3.0 8.0
9–16 Feb ScenariPolitici 23.7 33.2 9.6 13.5 4.8 5.7 2.6 7.0 9.5
15 Feb Piepoli 26.5 33.0 11.0 14.5 3.5 4.5 2.0 5.0 6.5
15 Feb Euromedia 24.5 32.0 12.0 16.3 3.8 5.2 2.4 3.8 7.5
13–14 Feb EMG 25.8 32.8 12.0 14.3 4.0 5.2 3.5 2.4 7.0
10–11 Feb SWG 23.2 34.7 12.0 14.6 4.0 3.8 3.5 4.2 11.5
10 Feb Ixè 24.9 33.3 11.7 14.0 4.8 4.4 2.1 4.8 8.4
8 Feb Piepoli 27.0 33.0 10.5 14.5 3.5 4.5 2.0 5.5 6.0
8 Feb Euromedia 24.7 31.5 11.9 16.2 4.0 5.4 2.4 3.9 6.8
6–7 Feb EMG 26.3 32.3 11.7 15.2 3.7 5.2 3.1 2.5 6.0
3–4 Feb SWG 22.4 35.2 12.2 14.4 3.8 4.0 3.9 4.1 12.8
2–4 Feb ScenariPolitici 23.3 32.0 9.8 15.2 4.5 5.7 2.9 6.6 8.7
3 Feb Ixè 24.7 34.1 11.2 14.2 4.2 4.0 2.7 2.5 9.4
1–2 Feb Demopolis 27.0 32.0 10.0 15.5 4.5 4.6 3.4 3.0 5.0
1 Feb Piepoli 27.0 32.5 10.5 15.0 3.5 4.0 2.0 5.5 5.5
1 Feb Euromedia 25.3 30.8 11.4 16.0 4.0 5.5 2.3 4.7 5.5
30–31 Jan EMG 26.5 31.8 11.6 15.8 3.2 5.6 2.7 2.8 5.3
27–28 Jan SWG 22.6 34.8 12.0 15.0 3.5 4.2 3.7 4.2 12.2
26–28 Jan ScenariPolitici 25.0 31.6 9.3 16.3 4.9 5.8 2.8 4.3 6.6
27 Jan Ixè 25.3 33.9 11.0 14.6 4.0 4.2 3.3 3.7 8.6
26 Jan Piepoli 27.5 32.0 10.0 15.5 3.5 4.0 2.0 5.5 4.5
25 Jan Euromedia 25.7 30.4 11.5 15.8 3.8 5.4 2.2 5.2 4.7
23–24 Jan EMG 26.8 31.4 11.8 15.3 3.6 5.5 2.3 3.3 4.6
20–21 Jan SWG 23.1 33.8 12.1 14.7 3.9 3.8 3.3 5.3 10.7
20 Jan Ixè 25.2 33.5 11.2 14.1 4.3 4.0 3.6 4.1 8.3
19 Jan Lorien 27.0 33.0 9.5 16.0 3.5 3.5 2.9 4.6 6.0
18 Jan Euromedia 26.3 30.5 11.2 15.5 4.0 5.3 1.8 5.4 4.2
16–17 Jan EMG 27.0 31.3 11.6 15.4 3.8 5.3 2.5 3.1 4.3
15 Jan IPR 27.0 30.5 10.0 15.5 4.0 5.0 3.0 5.2 3.5
13–14 Jan SWG 24.0 34.0 11.1 15.5 4.1 3.9 3.0 4.4 10.0
13 Jan Ixè 26.0 33.1 10.7 13.5 4.8 4.3 3.7 2.5 7.1
11 Jan Piepoli 28.0 32.0 9.5 15.5 4.0 3.5 2.0 5.5 4.0
11 Jan Euromedia 26.7 30.0 11.1 15.8 3.6 5.2 2.0 5.6 3.3
9–10 Jan EMG 27.8 30.8 11.4 16.0 3.4 5.2 2.4 3.2 3.0
6 Jan Ixè 26.0 33.4 11.1 13.7 4.3 4.4 3.4 3.7 7.4
4 Jan Tecnè 29.0 31.0 12.0 15.5 3.0 5.0 2.5 2.0 2.0
4 Jan IPR 29.0 30.0 10.0 14.5 4.0 5.0 3.0 4.5 1.0

2015

2014

2013

Second round

PD v. M5S

Date Polling firm PD M5S Lead
15–16 Oct 2016 EMG 46.8 53.2 6.4
15 Oct 2016 IPR 48.0 52.0 4.0
14–15 Oct 2016 Tecnè 47.0 53.0 6.0
8–9 Oct 2016 EMG 46.6 53.4 6.8
6–7 Oct 2016 ScenariPolitici 48.5 51.5 3.0
1–2 Oct 2016 EMG 47.5 52.5 5.0
29–30 Sep 2016 ScenariPolitici 49.0 51.0 2.0
24–25 Sep 2016 EMG 47.9 52.1 4.2
19–21 Sep 2016 ScenariPolitici 48.5 51.5 3.0
17–18 Sep 2016 EMG 48.1 51.9 3.8
15–16 Sep 2016 ScenariPolitici 49.0 51.0 2.0
10–11 Sep 2016 EMG 47.7 52.3 4.6
8–9 Sep 2016 ScenariPolitici 48.5 51.5 3.0
6–8 Sep 2016 Demos&Pi 51.7 48.3 3.4
3–4 Sep 2016 EMG 47.9 53.1 6.2
24–26 Aug 2016 ScenariPolitici 46.0 54.0 8.0
3–5 Aug 2016 ScenariPolitici 45.0 55.0 10.0
30–31 Jul 2016 EMG 46.9 53.1 6.2
27–28 Jul 2016 ScenariPolitici 45.5 54.5 9.0
23–24 Jul 2016 EMG 46.0 54.0 8.0
16–17 Jul 2016 EMG 45.8 54.2 8.4
9–10 Jul 2016 EMG 46.3 53.7 7.4
2–3 Jul 2016 EMG 45.4 54.6 9.2
29 Jun–1 Jul 2016 ScenariPolitici 45.0 55.0 10.0
25–26 Jun 2016 EMG 47.1 52.9 5.8
23–24 Jun 2016 ScenariPolitici 45.5 54.5 9.0
21–22 Jun 2016 Demopolis 49.0 51.0 2.0
18–19 Jun 2016 EMG 48.9 51.1 2.2
4–5 Jun 2016 EMG 48.5 50.7 2.8
28–29 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 47.5 52.5 5.0
13 May 2016 IPR 50.0 50.0 0.0
13 May 2016 Tecnè 49.5 50.5 1.0
7–8 May 2016 EMG 47.3 52.7 5.4
3 May 2016 Tecnè 48.5 51.5 3.0
30 Apr–1 May 2016 EMG 47.5 52.5 5.0
26–27 Apr 2016 Ipsos 49.1 50.9 1.8
20–21 Apr 2016 ScenariPolitici 48.5 51.5 3.0
20 Apr 2016 IPR 49.0 51.0 2.0
18–19 Apr 2016 Tecnè 50.0 50.0 0.0
16–17 Apr 2016 EMG 48.0 52.0 4.0
11 Apr 2016 Euromedia 49.2 50.8 1.6
9–10 Apr 2016 EMG 48.7 51.3 2.6
6–8 Apr 2016 Demos&Pi 48.2 51.8 3.6
2–3 Apr 2016 EMG 49.1 50.9 1.8
26–27 Mar 2016 EMG 48.1 51.9 3.8
22–24 Mar 2016 ScenariPolitici 51.5 48.5 3.0
21 Mar 2016 Ipsos 51.5 48.5 3.0
16–18 Mar 2016 ScenariPolitici 51.0 49.0 2.0
14–15 Mar 2016 Tecnè 51.0 49.0 2.0
12–13 Mar 2016 EMG 49.7 50.3 0.6
5–6 Mar 2016 EMG 49.3 50.7 1.4
1–2 Mar 2016 ScenariPolitici 50.7 49.3 1.4
27–28 Feb 2016 EMG 49.2 50.8 1.6
23–25 Feb 2016 ScenariPolitici 53.2 46.8 6.4
23–25 Feb 2016 Demos&Pi 51.0 49.0 2.0
20–21 Feb 2016 EMG 49.8 50.2 0.4
13–14 Feb 2016 EMG 50.2 49.8 0.4
6–7 Feb 2016 EMG 50.1 49.9 0.2
2–4 Feb 2016 ScenariPolitici 52.3 47.7 4.6
30–31 Jan 2016 EMG 49.2 50.8 1.6
26–28 Jan 2016 ScenariPolitici 50.1 49.9 0.2
23–24 Jan 2016 EMG 48.7 51.3 2.6
16–17 Jan 2016 EMG 48.4 51.6 3.2
15 Jan 2016 IPR 50.0 50.0 0.0
9–10 Jan 2016 EMG 48.0 52.0 4.0
19–20 Dec 2015 EMG 47.7 52.3 4.6
16 Dec 2015 Ipsos 47.5 52.5 5.0
12–13 Dec 2015 EMG 47.6 52.4 4.8
5–6 Dec 2015 EMG 47.5 52.5 5.0
29 Nov 2015 CISE 48.5 51.5 3.0
28–29 Nov 2015 EMG 47.6 52.4 4.8
21–22 Nov 2015 EMG 47.8 52.2 4.4
21 Nov 2015 Ipsos 49.5 50.5 1.0
18–20 Nov 2015 Demos&Pi 52.2 47.8 4.4
18 Nov 2015 Index Research 49.7 50.3 0.6
14–15 Nov 2015 EMG 48.0 52.0 4.0
12 Nov 2015 Ipsos 49.2 50.8 1.6
11 Nov 2015 IPR 49.0 51.0 2.0
9 Nov 2015 Tecnè 49.5 50.5 1.0
7–8 Nov 2015 EMG 48.3 51.7 3.4
2 Nov 2015 Euromedia 49.8 50.2 0.4
31 Oct–1 Nov 2015 EMG 49.4 50.6 1.2
24–25 Oct 2015 EMG 50.5 49.5 1.0
17–18 Oct 2015 EMG 51.0 49.0 2.0
13–15 Oct 2015 Demos&Pi 52.7 47.3 5.4
10–11 Oct 2015 EMG 52.0 48.0 4.0
3–4 Oct 2015 EMG 52.7 47.3 5.4
26–27 Sep 2015 EMG 52.6 47.4 5.2
19–20 Sep 2015 EMG 52.5 47.5 5.0
12–13 Sep 2015 EMG 52.8 47.2 5.6
8–10 Sep 2015 Demos&Pi 53.4 46.6 6.8
7 Sep 2015 Piepoli[1] 54.0 46.0 8.0
7 Sep 2015 Piepoli[2] 55.0 45.0 10.0
5–6 Sep 2015 EMG 53.4 46.6 6.8
18–19 Jul 2015 EMG 54.5 45.5 9.0
16–17 Jun 2015 Ipsos 51.2 48.8 2.4
30–31 May 2015 EMG 57.4 42.6 14.8
24–28 Mar 2014 ScenariPolitici 52.6 47.4 5.2
24–28 Feb 2014 ScenariPolitici 52.6 47.4 5.2

PD v. Centre-right

Date Polling firm PD CDx Lead
15–16 Oct 2016 EMG 53.3 46.7 6.6
15 Oct 2016 IPR 53.0 47.0 2.0
14–15 Oct 2016 Tecnè 51.0 49.0 2.0
8–9 Oct 2016 EMG 52.3 47.7 4.6
6–7 Oct 2016 ScenariPolitici 54.5 45.5 9.0
1–2 Oct 2016 EMG 53.1 46.9 6.2
29–30 Sep 2016 ScenariPolitici 54.0 46.0 8.0
24–25 Sep 2016 EMG 53.1 46.9 6.2
19–21 Sep 2016 ScenariPolitici 54.5 45.5 9.0
17–18 Sep 2016 EMG 54.1 45.9 8.2
15–16 Sep 2016 ScenariPolitici 55.0 45.0 10.0
10–11 Sep 2016 EMG 54.1 45.9 8.2
8–9 Sep 2016 ScenariPolitici 55.5 45.5 11.0
6–8 Sep 2016 Demos&Pi 54.2 45.8 8.4
3–4 Sep 2016 EMG 54.0 46.0 8.0
24–26 Aug 2016 ScenariPolitici 55.0 45.0 10.0
3–5 Aug 2016 ScenariPolitici 54.5 45.5 9.0
30–31 Jul 2016 EMG 54.2 45.8 8.4
27–28 Jul 2016 ScenariPolitici 53.0 47.0 6.0
23–24 Jul 2016 EMG 53.1 46.9 6.2
16–17 Jul 2016 EMG 52.1 47.9 4.2
9–10 Jul 2016 EMG 51.3 48.7 2.6
2–3 Jul 2016 EMG 51.2 48.8 2.4
29 Jun–1 Jul 2016 ScenariPolitici 53.5 46.5 7.0
25–26 Jun 2016 EMG 52.5 47.5 5.0
23–24 Jun 2016 ScenariPolitici 53.0 47.0 6.0
18–19 Jun 2016 EMG 52.2 47.8 4.4
4–5 Jun 2016 EMG 51.5 48.5 3.0
28–29 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 53.0 47.0 6.0
13 May 2016 IPR 51.0 49.0 2.0
13 May 2016 Tecnè 50.5 49.5 1.0
7–8 May 2016 EMG 51.1 48.9 2.2
3 May 2016 Tecnè 50.5 49.5 1.0
30 Apr–1 May 2016 EMG 51.4 48.6 2.8
26–27 Apr 2016 Ipsos 52.3 47.7 4.6
20–21 Apr 2016 ScenariPolitici 54.0 46.0 8.0
20 Apr 2016 IPR 53.0 47.0 6.0
18–19 Apr 2016 Tecnè 51.0 49.0 2.0
16–17 Apr 2016 EMG 51.0 49.0 2.0
11 Apr 2016 Euromedia 50.1 49.9 0.2
9–10 Apr 2016 EMG 51.7 48.3 3.4
6–8 Apr 2016 Demos&Pi 50.5 49.5 1.0
2–3 Apr 2016 EMG 51.8 48.2 3.6
26–27 Mar 2016 EMG 52.3 47.7 4.6
22–24 Mar 2016 ScenariPolitici 56.5 43.5 13.0
21 Mar 2016 Ipsos 53.9 46.1 7.8
16–18 Mar 2016 ScenariPolitici 56.0 44.0 12.0
14–15 Mar 2016 Tecnè 52.5 47.5 5.0
12–13 Mar 2016 EMG 53.0 47.0 6.0
5–6 Mar 2016 EMG 52.8 47.2 6.6
1–2 Mar 2016 ScenariPolitici 55.2 44.8 10.4
27–28 Feb 2016 EMG 52.4 47.6 5.8
23–25 Feb 2016 ScenariPolitici 55.9 44.1 11.8
23–25 Feb 2016 Demos&Pi 51.8 48.2 3.6
20–21 Feb 2016 EMG 52.5 47.5 6.0
13–14 Feb 2016 EMG 53.3 46.7 6.6
6–7 Feb 2016 EMG 53.2 46.8 6.4
2–4 Feb 2016 ScenariPolitici 53.3 46.7 6.6
30–31 Jan 2016 EMG 52.8 47.3 5.5
26–28 Jan 2016 ScenariPolitici 54.5 45.5 9.0
23–24 Jan 2016 EMG 52.5 47.5 5.0
16–17 Jan 2016 EMG 52.2 47.8 4.4
9–10 Jan 2016 EMG 51.6 48.4 3.2
19–20 Dec 2015 EMG 51.8 48.2 3.6
15 Dec 2015 Ipsos 54.8 45.2 9.6
12–13 Dec 2015 EMG 51.1 48.9 2.2
5–6 Dec 2015 EMG 51.3 48.7 2.6
29 Nov 2015 CISE 57.5 42.5 15.0
28–29 Nov 2015 EMG 51.7 48.3 3.4
21–22 Nov 2015 EMG 51.8 48.2 3.6
18–20 Nov 2015 Demos&Pi[3] 59.9 40.1 19.8
18–20 Nov 2015 Demos&Pi 55.7 44.3 11.4
18 Nov 2015 Index Research 52.8 47.2 5.6
14–15 Nov 2015 EMG 52.3 47.7 4.6
12 Nov 2015 Ipsos 53.5 46.5 7.0
11 Nov 2015 IPR 52.0 48.0 4.0
9 Nov 2015 Tecnè 51.0 49.0 2.0
7–8 Nov 2015 EMG 52.5 47.5 5.0
31 Oct–1 Nov 2015 EMG 52.9 47.1 5.8
24–25 Oct 2015 EMG 53.5 46.5 7.0
17–18 Oct 2015 EMG 53.5 46.5 7.0
13–15 Oct 2015 Demos&Pi[4] 58.9 41.1 17.8
13–15 Oct 2015 Demos&Pi 51.7 48.3 3.4
10–11 Oct 2015 EMG 52.9 47.1 5.8
3–4 Oct 2015 EMG 52.1 47.9 4.2
26–27 Sep 2015 EMG 51.4 48.6 2.8
8–10 Sep 2015 Demos&Pi 53.9 46.1 7.8
8–10 Sep 2015 Demos&Pi[5] 62.7 37.3 25.4
7 Sep 2015 Piepoli[6] 60.0 40.0 20.0
7 Sep 2015 Piepoli[7] 58.0 42.0 16.0
16–17 Jun 2015 Ipsos[8] 61.5 38.5 23.0
16–17 Jun 2015 Ipsos 53.5 46.5 7.0
3–8 Jun 2014 ScenariPolitici 60.0 40.0 20.0
24–28 Mar 2014 ScenariPolitici 56.7 43.3 13.4
24–28 Feb 2014 ScenariPolitici 52.2 47.8 4.4

M5S v. Centre-right

Date Polling firm M5S CDx Lead
15–16 Oct 2016 EMG 58.3 41.7 16.6
15 Oct 2016 IPR 57.0 43.0 14.0
14–15 Oct 2016 Tecnè 54.0 46.0 8.0
8–9 Oct 2016 EMG 57.2 42.8 14.4
6–7 Oct 2016 ScenariPolitici 55.5 44.5 11.0
1–2 Oct 2016 EMG 57.1 42.9 14.2
29–30 Sep 2016 ScenariPolitici 55.0 45.0 10.0
24–25 Sep 2016 EMG 56.5 43.5 13.0
19–21 Sep 2016 ScenariPolitici 55.0 45.0 10.0
17–18 Sep 2016 EMG 56.8 43.2 13.6
15–16 Sep 2016 ScenariPolitici 56.0 44.0 12.0
10–11 Sep 2016 EMG 57.2 42.8 14.4
8–9 Sep 2016 ScenariPolitici 54.0 46.0 8.0
6–8 Sep 2016 Demos&Pi 56.3 43.7 12.6
3–4 Sep 2016 EMG 57.3 42.7 14.6
24–26 Aug 2016 ScenariPolitici 56.5 43.5 13.0
3–5 Aug 2016 ScenariPolitici 57.5 42.5 15.0
30–31 Jul 2016 EMG 57.4 42.6 14.8
27–28 Jul 2016 ScenariPolitici 57.5 42.5 15.0
23–24 Jul 2016 EMG 57.1 42.9 14.2
16–17 Jul 2016 EMG 56.7 43.3 13.4
9–10 Jul 2016 EMG 55.1 44.9 10.2
2–3 Jul 2016 EMG 55.2 44.8 10.4
29 Jun–1 Jul 2016 ScenariPolitici 57.0 43.0 14.0
25–26 Jun 2016 EMG 57.3 42.7 14.6
23–24 Jun 2016 ScenariPolitici 57.5 42.5 15.0
18–19 Jun 2016 EMG 55.4 44.6 10.8
4–5 Jun 2016 EMG 54.0 46.0 8.0
28–29 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 55.5 44.5 11.0
13 May 2016 IPR 51.0 49.0 2.0
13 May 2016 Tecnè 51.0 49.0 2.0
7–8 May 2016 EMG 55.1 44.9 10.2
3 May 2016 Tecnè 50.5 49.5 1.0
30 Apr–1 May 2016 EMG 54.7 45.3 9.4
26–27 Apr 2016 Ipsos 54.6 45.4 9.2
20–21 Apr 2016 ScenariPolitici 54.5 45.5 9.0
18–19 Apr 2016 Tecnè 51.0 49.0 2.0
16–17 Apr 2016 EMG 53.1 46.9 6.2
9–10 Apr 2016 EMG 53.0 47.0 6.0
2–3 Apr 2016 EMG 52.9 47.1 5.8
26–27 Mar 2016 EMG 53.7 46.3 7.4
22–24 Mar 2016 ScenariPolitici 54.5 45.5 9.0
21 Mar 2016 Ipsos 55.5 44.5 11.0
16–18 Mar 2016 ScenariPolitici 55.2 44.8 10.4
14–15 Mar 2016 Tecnè 52.0 48.0 4.0
12–13 Mar 2016 EMG 52.8 47.2 5.6
5–6 Mar 2016 EMG 52.5 47.5 6.0
1–3 Mar 2016 ScenariPolitici 56.3 43.7 12.6
27–28 Feb 2016 EMG 52.6 47.4 6.2
23–25 Feb 2016 ScenariPolitici 53.6 46.4 7.2
20–21 Feb 2016 EMG 52.9 47.1 5.8
13–14 Feb 2016 EMG 53.1 46.9 6.2
6–7 Feb 2016 EMG 52.9 47.1 5.8
2–4 Feb 2016 ScenariPolitici 53.7 46.3 7.4
30–31 Jan 2016 EMG 52.4 47.6 4.8
26–28 Jan 2016 ScenariPolitici 55.4 44.6 10.8
23–24 Jan 2016 EMG 52.5 47.5 5.0
16–17 Jan 2016 EMG 52.9 47.1 5.8
9–10 Jan 2016 EMG 53.2 46.8 6.4
5–6 Dec 2015 EMG 52.9 47.1 5.8
29 Nov 2015 CISE 62.4 37.6 24.8
28–29 Nov 2015 EMG 53.3 46.7 6.6
21–22 Nov 2015 EMG 53.6 46.4 7.2
24–28 Mar 2014 ScenariPolitici 53.5 46.5 7.0
24–28 Feb 2014 ScenariPolitici 51.4 48.6 2.8

Three-way race

Some politicians, journalists and opinion leaders proposed to modifie the electoral law introducing a second round, not only for the two main parties, but for the first three lists.[9][10]

Date Polling firm PD CDx M5S Lead
15 Oct 2016 IPR 37.0 32.0 31.0 5.0
14–15 Oct 2016 Tecnè 35.0 34.0 31.0 1.0

References

  1. Luigi Di Maio listed as M5S leader.
  2. Beppe Grillo listed as M5S leader.
  3. Considering only Lega Nord
  4. Considering only Lega Nord
  5. Considering only Lega Nord
  6. Considering only Forza Italia
  7. Considering only Lega Nord
  8. Considering only Lega Nord
  9. Ballottaggio a tre
  10. Apparentamento e ballottaggio a tre: la mia ricetta per la nuova legge elettorale
This article is issued from Wikipedia - version of the 12/1/2016. The text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution/Share Alike but additional terms may apply for the media files.